David Spiegelhalter Quotes

Most memorable quotes from David Spiegelhalter.

David Spiegelhalter Famous Quotes

Reading David Spiegelhalter quotes, download and share images of famous quotes by David Spiegelhalter. Righ click to see or save pictures of David Spiegelhalter quotes that you can use as your wallpaper for free.

When the CERN teams reported a 'five-sigma' result for the Higgs boson, corresponding to a P-value of around 1 in 3.5 million, the BBC reported the conclusion correctly, saying this meant 'about a one-on-3.5 million chance that the signal they see would appear if there were no Higgs particle.' But nearly every other outlet got the meaning of this P-value wrong. For example, Forbes Magazine reported, 'The chances are less than 1 in a million that it is not the Higgs boson,' a clear example of the prosecutor's fallacy. The Independent was typical in claiming that 'there is less than a one in a million chance that their results are a statistical fluke.' This may not be blatantly mistaken as Forbes, but it is still assigning the small probability to 'their results are a statistical fluke', which is logically the same as saying this is the probability of the null hypothesis being tested.
David Spiegelhalter Quotes: When the CERN teams reported
David Speigel Quotes «
» David Ssembajjo Quotes