Overconfidence Quotes

Collection of famous quotes and sayings about Overconfidence.

Quotes About Overconfidence

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Successful gamblers - and successful forecasters of any kind - do not think of the future in terms of no-lose bets, unimpeachable theories, and infinitely precise measurements. These are the illusions of the sucker, the sirens of his overconfidence. ~ Nate Silver
Overconfidence quotes by Nate Silver
Someone has said that no theology is worth believing that cannot be preached standing in front of the gates of Auschwitz. I, for one, could not stand at those gates and preach a version of God's sovereignty that makes the extermination of six million Jews, including many children, a part of the will and plan of God such that God foreordained and rendered it certain.18 I want young Calvinists (and others) to know and at least come to terms with the inevitable and unavoidable consequences of what this radical form of Reformed theology teaches. And I want to give their friends and relatives and Spiritual mentors ammunition to use in undermining their sometimes overconfidence in the solidity of their belief system. ~ Roger E. Olson
Overconfidence quotes by Roger E. Olson
Experts in diagnostic errors provided an answer to the puzzle that had been nagging me: How was it possible for missed diagnoses to be so common and yet not perceived by doctors as a major problem? The problem is that physicians, while generally aware that mistakes happen, greatly underestimate how often they make them. In his talks to doctors on the topic, Graber often asks how many have made a diagnostic error in the past year; typically, only about 1 percent of the hands go up. 'The concept that they, personally, could err at a significant rate is inconceivable to most physicians,' he writes. In short, they think it's the other guy. This overconfidence is not necessarily their fault: doctors simply do not get the feedback needed to gain an accurate sense of their batting average. They assume their diagnoses are correct until they hear otherwise. Since there are few, if any, health care organizations that systematically measure diagnostic error rates, they typically learn of their mistakes only from the patients themselves. ~ Maya Dusenbery
Overconfidence quotes by Maya Dusenbery
We are the result of our decisions, everyday we deal with its consequences. Actions without thinking creates a world of deceptions and humiliations. When you make a wrong move, your experiences becomes your punishment. With prudence you must consider both sides when deciding, your fear or your foolish overconfidence will tell you to go left or to go right, but to decide see what's in the middle and considere it, do not rush, it will demonstrates your capability. Remeber always, there is balance in everything. ~ Natasha Helvin
Overconfidence quotes by Natasha Helvin
Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues. ~ Daniel Kahneman
Overconfidence quotes by Daniel Kahneman
The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future. ~ Daniel Kahneman
Overconfidence quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Confidence gets you off to a fast start. Confidence gets you that first job and maybe the next two promotions. But confidence stops you from learning. Confidence becomes a caricature after a while. I can't tell you how many confident blowhards I've seen in my coaching career who never get better after the age of forty." -- Bill Walsh ~ Rich Karlgaard
Overconfidence quotes by Rich Karlgaard
The events of the Titanic disaster can be seen as a symbol of what happens through overconfidence in technology, complacence, and a mindset of profits over people's safety. ~ Deborah Hopkinson
Overconfidence quotes by Deborah Hopkinson
The hedge fund known as "Long Term Capital Management" collapsed last fall through overconfidence in its highly leveraged methods, despite I.Q.'s of its principals that must have averaged 160. Smart people aren't exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence. Often, they just run aground in the more difficult voyages they choose, relying on their self-appraisals that they have superior talents and methods. ~ Charlie Munger
Overconfidence quotes by Charlie Munger
Doubt is often better than overconfidence, for it leads to inquiry, and inquiry leads to invention. ~ Hudson Maxim
Overconfidence quotes by Hudson Maxim
CEOs of large firms often fail to read the handwriting on the wall, because of complacence, inertia, or overconfidence. ~ Navi Radjou
Overconfidence quotes by Navi Radjou
The man who wishes to keep at the problem long enough to really learn anything positively must not take dangerous risks. Carelessness and overconfidence are usually more dangerous than deliberately accepted risks. ~ David McCullough
Overconfidence quotes by David McCullough
What you need to remember, with these guys, is that they don't know they're con men. They're wildly overconfident. Omnipotence, omniscience
that's part of the mythology that surrounds the Special Forces ... Your guy can walk in the door and promise training in something he personally doesn't know how to do, and not even realize he's bullshitting about his own capabilities. It's a special kind of gullibility ... ~ William Gibson
Overconfidence quotes by William Gibson
Let the word go forth from this time and place, to friend and foe alike, that the torch has been passed to a new generation of Americans, born in this century, tempered by war, disciplined by a hard and bitter peace, proud of our ancient heritage, and unwilling to witness or permit the slow undoing of those human rights to which this nation has always been committed, and to which we are committed today at home and around the world. Let every nation know, whether it wishes us well or ill, that we shall pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe to assure the survival and the success of liberty. ~ John F. Kennedy
Overconfidence quotes by John F. Kennedy
Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact. ~ Ted Cadsby
Overconfidence quotes by Ted Cadsby
Don't be too obvious about it. ~ Auliq Ice
Overconfidence quotes by Auliq Ice
As part of an effort to prod college seniors to get tetanus shots, a group of students was given a lecture meant to educate them about the dangers of tetanus and the importance of getting inoculated against it. A large majority of those students reported that they were convinced and planned to get their shots, but in the end only 3 percent got them. Bu another group of students, who were presented with the same lecture, had a 28 percent inoculation rate. The difference? The second group was given a map of the campus and asked to plan their route to the health center and pick a date and time to go. Sometimes, you see, motivation isn't our problem. Rather, we need to identify life's everyday mental obstacles - regret, fatigue, overconfidence, fear, to name just four - and put ourselves into position to hurdle them. ~ Gary Belsky
Overconfidence quotes by Gary Belsky
Better not perceive yourselves too high, O humans.
We only value mankind as our experimentation object. ~ Toba Beta
Overconfidence quotes by Toba Beta
A puzzling limitation of our mind: our excessive confidence in what we believe we know, and our apparent inability to acknowledge the full extent of our ignorance and the uncertainty of the world we live in. We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events. Overconfidence is fed by the illusory certainty of hindsight. ~ Daniel Kahneman
Overconfidence quotes by Daniel Kahneman
I don't think there is a thing like overconfidence in chess. It's always better to be too confident than too reluctant. ~ Magnus Carlsen
Overconfidence quotes by Magnus Carlsen
Overconfidence is a lowly bitch that easily fucked. ~ Toba Beta
Overconfidence quotes by Toba Beta
To a winner, complacency and overconfidence can be destructive. To losers, desperation and despondency are just as harmful. ~ Bill Walsh
Overconfidence quotes by Bill Walsh
You know, I can't stop thinking about you.
Oh really? Why you so obsessed about me?
Because..you're so full of shit yet still alive. ~ Toba Beta
Overconfidence quotes by Toba Beta
Doubt is not the enemy of justice; overconfidence is. ~ Carol Tavris
Overconfidence quotes by Carol Tavris
Before you attempt to beat the odds, be sure you could survive the odds beating you. ~ Larry Kersten
Overconfidence quotes by Larry Kersten
"Where the hell are you?" he snapped when I answered.
"You're back? Good. So how was - ?"
"You're not here."
"Because I'm supposed to be waiting by the gate?"
"You know what I mean. Simon said you went to talk to Tori, but you're not on the property, so I'm really hoping you're with her."
I glanced at Tori's back, a half mile away. "Kind of."
"She took off, didn't she? And you went after her, knowing you aren't supposed to leave the property unaccompanied."
"Tori needs - "
"Tori can look after herself."
"And I can't?"
A growl. He knew better than to answer. Despite my lack of defensive superpowers, I'd gotten myself - and Tori - out of plenty of scrapes. Sometimes, knowing you don't have the skills to fight can be a bonus. With Tori, overconfidence equals lack of caution and, yes, as Derek would say, common sense.
"I'm just going to talk to her," I said. "I'll bring her home - "
"No, you'll come back. Right now. That's an order."
"Well, in that case . . . no."
A louder growl.
"Seriously?" I said. "An order? Has that ever worked?"
He grumbled something I couldn't hear and probably didn't want to.
"I'm not kidding, Chloe. Stop running, turn around, and - "
"I'll be back as soon as I catch her. 'Kay? Bye." ~ Kelley Armstrong
Overconfidence quotes by Kelley Armstrong
How errors of human judgment can infect even the smartest people, thanks to overconfidence, lack of attention to details, and excessive trust in the judgments of others, stemming from a failure to understand that others are not making independent judgments but are themselves following still others - the blind leading the blind. ~ Robert J. Shiller
Overconfidence quotes by Robert J. Shiller
Columbia Business School even has a term for it now. They call it "honest overconfidence" and they have found that men on average rate their performance to be 30 percent better than it is. ~ Katty Kay
Overconfidence quotes by Katty Kay
Overconfidence blurs out the risk. Inferiority magnifies it. ~ Toba Beta
Overconfidence quotes by Toba Beta
One of these days my overconfidence is going to get me killed . . . but not today. ~ Bryan Schardein
Overconfidence quotes by Bryan Schardein
Modern society is large and complex, with institutions wielding great power over the lives of many. This is why Johnson and Fowler added a dire parting shot in their predictions. Since you are programmed to become increasingly overconfident the less you understand about any given scenario, you can expect to find the most destructive overconfidence in places that are exceedingly complicated and unpredictable. ~ David McRaney
Overconfidence quotes by David McRaney
Companies selling a product play down its vulnerability and emphasize its robustness. But only after technology leaves the dock is it really tested. For human operators in control of a supposedly infallible system, complacency and overconfidence can take over, and caution may be thrown to the wind. ~ Henry Petroski
Overconfidence quotes by Henry Petroski
Like all vain men, he had moments of unreasonable confidence. ~ Warren Eyster
Overconfidence quotes by Warren Eyster
Every woman knows what I'm talking about. It's the presumption that makes it hard, at times, for any woman in any field; that keeps women from speaking up and from being heard when they dare; that crushes young women into silence by indicating, the way harassment on the street does, that this is not their world. It trains us in self-doubt and self-limitation just as it exercises men's unsupported overconfidence. ~ Rebecca Solnit
Overconfidence quotes by Rebecca Solnit
Self esteem is not the same as being self centered, self absorbed or selfish. Self esteem is also not complacency or overconfidence, both of which and set us up for failure. Self esteem is a strong motivator to work hard. Self esteem is related to mental health and happiness. ~ Glenn R. Schiraldi
Overconfidence quotes by Glenn R. Schiraldi
Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts for much in subjective confidence. ~ Daniel Kahneman
Overconfidence quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Sometimes it's difficult to accept, to recognise one's own mistakes, but one must do it. I was guilty of overconfidence and arrogance, and I was punished for that. ~ Mikhail Gorbachev
Overconfidence quotes by Mikhail Gorbachev
Many a man has gotten himself killed by believing his own press ~ Bill Willingham
Overconfidence quotes by Bill Willingham
Auguste preferred women. He told me I would grow into it. I told him that he could get heirs and I would read books. I was ... nine? Ten? I thought I was already grown up. The hazards of overconfidence. ~ C.S. Pacat
Overconfidence quotes by C.S. Pacat
Not cocky overconfidence that comes from collecting biased information and ignoring uncertainties, but the real confidence that comes from knowing you've made the best decision that you could. ~ Chip Heath
Overconfidence quotes by Chip Heath
I have a cunning plan. ~ Richard Curtis
Overconfidence quotes by Richard Curtis
Don't you know about the praying mantis that waved its arms angrily in front of an approaching carriage, unaware that they were incapable of stopping it? Such was the high opinion it had of its talents. ~ Zhuangzi
Overconfidence quotes by Zhuangzi
Overconfidence precedes carelessness. ~ Toba Beta
Overconfidence quotes by Toba Beta
Their is no more insidious poison than hubris. ~ C.A.A. Savastano
Overconfidence quotes by C.A.A. Savastano
The most damaging cognitive bias is overconfidence (illusory superiority), making leaders use their "gut" when they should be more rational. ~ Paul Gibbons
Overconfidence quotes by Paul Gibbons
There's a thin line between brilliance and overconfidence. I tend to cross it and that's the best way to do it. ~ - TheDauntlessReader
Overconfidence quotes by - TheDauntlessReader
People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy ... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence. ~ Daniel Kahneman
Overconfidence quotes by Daniel Kahneman
A very disturbing feature of overconfidence is that it often appears to be poorly associated with knowledge - that is, the more ignorant the individual, the more confident he or she maybe. ~ Robert Trivers
Overconfidence quotes by Robert Trivers
Incompetence is certainty in the absence of expertise. Overconfidence is certainty in the presence of expertise. ~ Malcolm Gladwell
Overconfidence quotes by Malcolm Gladwell
Less reasoning when be too sure. ~ Toba Beta
Overconfidence quotes by Toba Beta
The real struggle is in your own mind. You must know you are going to win before you start the fight. You have to see it, smell it, and believe it utterly. It is a form of confidence, but you must guard against overconfidence. You have to be flexible - able to adapt in an instant and never allow yourself to give up. Without this, nothing else is possible. ~ Michael J. Sullivan
Overconfidence quotes by Michael J. Sullivan
Both religiousness and lawlessness share the same problems: overconfidence and unrighteousness. "Why do bad things happen to good people?" we might ask - the very question that betrays our misplaced assumption that we somehow deserve a good life. ~ Tim Chaddick
Overconfidence quotes by Tim Chaddick
Overconfidence is a strong ally. People are always surprised when you try to do things you can't. ~ Edward W. Robertson
Overconfidence quotes by Edward W. Robertson
OVERCONFIDENCE. We often stroll through life, thinking everything will be fine, until suddenly it isn't. ~ Timothy J. Keller
Overconfidence quotes by Timothy J. Keller
A certain death of an artist is overconfidence. ~ Robin Trower
Overconfidence quotes by Robin Trower
In Dune and Dune Messiah, he [Frank Herbert] was cautioning against pride and overconfidence, that form of narcissism described in Greek tragedies that invariably led to the great fall. ~ Brian Herbert
Overconfidence quotes by Brian Herbert
Overconfidence comes from fear and doubt, and you boast an ego when you're feeling less than. ~ Nikki Sixx
Overconfidence quotes by Nikki Sixx
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